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Nebraska vs Oregon — Nebraska

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 18, 2026
MarketMaster fair value69¢ vs live 65¢ on Polymarket
3.5% against the midpoint, -4.5% against the 73¢ ask you would actually pay, -5.1% after the 0.59¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
29¢ last
BidAsk
YES28¢29¢
NO71¢72¢
$18,075 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
35¢ last
BidAsk
YES27¢29¢
NO71¢73¢
$1,880 volume
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Cross-venue spread 6.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Nebraska wins the Nebraska vs Oregon college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming college football game between Nebraska and Oregon, scheduled for October 17 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nebraska" if Nebraska win the game. This market will resolve to "Oregon" if Oregon win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread6.0¢
Kalshi last29¢
Polymarket last35¢
Model fair value69¢
Model confidence37%
Venues2
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