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Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 187.5

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 23, 2026
MarketMaster fair value55¢ vs live 54¢ on Polymarket
1.3% against the midpoint, -2.7% against the 58¢ ask you would actually pay, -3.9% after the 1.22¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
43¢ last
BidAsk
YES43¢44¢
NO56¢57¢
$13,458 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
46¢ last
BidAsk
YES41¢45¢
NO55¢59¢
$5,659 volume
Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If the teams in the Minnesota vs Indiana women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 22, 2026 collectively score more than 187.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 22 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Minnesota Lynx and Indiana Fever combine to score 188 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 188, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last43¢
Polymarket last46¢
Model fair value55¢
Model confidence39%
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.