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Miami vs Las Vegas: Total Points — Over 40.5 points scored

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Sep 13, 2026
MarketMaster fair value50¢ vs live 49¢ on Polymarket
1.3% against the midpoint, -0.7% against the 51¢ ask you would actually pay, -2.0% after the 1.25¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
48¢ last
BidAsk
YES48¢49¢
NO51¢52¢
$47,624 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
51¢ last
BidAsk
YES49¢50¢
NO50¢51¢
$11,786 volume
Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Miami and Las Vegas collectively score more than 40.5 points in the Miami vs Las Vegas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 4:25 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Dolphins and Raiders combine to score 41 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 41, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last48¢
Polymarket last51¢
Model fair value50¢
Model confidence36%
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.