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Mensik vs Neumayer — Jakub Mensik

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 26, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
86¢ last
BidAsk
YES85¢86¢
NO14¢15¢
$8,627 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
84¢ last
BidAsk
YES83¢84¢
NO16¢17¢
$4,158 volume
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Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Jakub Mensik wins the Mensik vs Neumayer professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Lukas Neumayer in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Lukas Neumayer. This market will resolve to 'Lukas Neumayer' if Lukas Neumayer advances against Jakub Mensik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last86¢
Polymarket last84¢
Venues2
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