Mannarino vs Carreno Busta — Adrian Mannarino

Kalshi — primary rule

If Adrian Mannarino wins the Mannarino vs Carreno Busta professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Pablo Carreno Busta in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Adrian Mannarino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.