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Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?

Post
Polymarket Closes Oct 24, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
PolymarketTrade ↗
93¢ last
BidAsk
YES81¢93¢
NO7¢19¢
$25,374 volume
Listed on Polymarket only. Kalshi does not carry a market that settles on this exact question, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) and Flávio Bolsonaro participate in the same televised Brazilian presidential debate by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro must each speak at least once in the same debate, televised live. Virtual live participation will qualify. Prerecorded appearances will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread—
Kalshi last—
Polymarket last93¢
Venues2
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