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LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 9, 2026
MarketMaster fair value52¢ vs live 51¢ on Kalshi
1.1% against the midpoint, 0.1% against the 52¢ ask you would actually pay, -1.6% after the 1.75¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
50¢ last
BidAsk
YES48¢50¢
NO50¢52¢
$809 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
47¢ last
BidAsk
YES47¢48¢
NO52¢53¢
$1,722 volume
Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Vivo Keyd Stars Academy wins the Circuito Desafiante 2026: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs. Vivo Keyd Stars Academy League of Legends match originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Vivo Keyd Stars Academy and KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas in the Circuito Desafiante Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vivo Keyd Stars Academy" if Vivo Keyd Stars Academy win the match against KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas. This market will resolve to "KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas" if KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas win the match against Vivo Keyd Stars Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 8, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last50¢
Polymarket last47¢
Model fair value52¢
Model confidence14%
Venues2
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