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LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Jul 28, 2026
MarketMaster fair value73¢ vs live 72¢ on Kalshi
▲ +1.5% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
28¢ last
BidAsk
YES28¢29¢
NO71¢72¢
$902 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
26¢ last
BidAsk
YES26¢28¢
NO72¢74¢
$6,254 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Vivo Keyd Stars Academy wins the Circuito Desafiante 2026: Estral Esports vs. Vivo Keyd Stars Academy League of Legends match originally scheduled for Jul 27, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the LoL match between Vivo Keyd Stars Academy and Estral Esports in the Circuito Desafiante Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 27 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vivo Keyd Stars Academy" if Vivo Keyd Stars Academy win the match against Estral Esports. This market will resolve to "Estral Esports" if Estral Esports win the match against Vivo Keyd Stars Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last28¢
Polymarket last26¢
Model fair value27¢
Model confidence37%
Venues2
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