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LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Jul 27, 2026
This market group is no longer actively tracked — final data shown. See live edges →
MarketMaster fair value89¢ vs live 79¢ on Kalshi
▲ +10.2% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
95¢ last
BidAsk
YES93¢95¢
NO
$209,954 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
90¢ last
BidAsk
YES91¢92¢
NO
$114,136 volume
Cross-venue spread 5.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Shopify Rebellion wins the LCS 2026: Disguised vs. Shopify Rebellion League of Legends match originally scheduled for Jul 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the LoL match between Shopify Rebellion and Disguised in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 26 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against Disguised. This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised win the match against Shopify Rebellion. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread5.0¢
Kalshi last95¢
Polymarket last90¢
Model fair value89¢
Model confidence50%
Venues2
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