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LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage

KalshiPolymarket Closes Jul 31, 2026
MarketMaster fair value90¢ vs live 81¢ on Kalshi
▲ +9.2% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
68¢ last
BidAsk
YES66¢67¢
NO33¢34¢
$30,139 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
70¢ last
BidAsk
YES69¢70¢
NO30¢31¢
$41,468 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 98¢ per $1 payout, locking +2.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If NRG Esports wins the North American Challengers League 2026: Winthrop University vs. NRG Esports League of Legends match originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the LoL match between NRG Esports and Winthrop University in the North American Challengers League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 30 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "NRG Esports" if NRG Esports win the match against Winthrop University. This market will resolve to "Winthrop University" if Winthrop University win the match against NRG Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last68¢
Polymarket last70¢
Model fair value90¢
Model confidence42%
Venues2
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