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LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier

KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 3, 2026
MarketMaster fair value57¢ vs live 55¢ on Polymarket
▲ +1.9% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
41¢ last
BidAsk
YES41¢42¢
NO58¢59¢
$4,669 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
45¢ last
BidAsk
YES44¢45¢
NO55¢56¢
$9,239 volume
Cross-venue spread 4.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 98¢ per $1 payout, locking +2.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Nongshim Red Force wins the KeSPA Cup 2026: T1 vs. Nongshim Red Force League of Legends match originally scheduled for Aug 3, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between Nongshim Red Force and T1 in the KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier, initially scheduled for August 3 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win the match against T1. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Nongshim Red Force. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread4.0¢
Kalshi last41¢
Polymarket last45¢
Model fair value43¢
Model confidence38%
Venues2
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