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LoL: NightBirds vs EXILE esports (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 20, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
96¢ last
BidAsk
YES94¢96¢
NO
$609 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
93¢ last
BidAsk
YES90¢93¢
NO10¢
$2,816 volume
Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If NightBirds wins the Hitpoint Masters 2026: EXILE esports vs. NightBirds League of Legends match originally scheduled for Aug 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the LoL match between NightBirds and EXILE esports in the Hitpoint Masters Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "NightBirds" if NightBirds win Game 1 against EXILE esports. This market will resolve to "EXILE esports" if EXILE esports win Game 1 against NightBirds. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last96¢
Polymarket last93¢
Venues2
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