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LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 17, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
60¢ last
BidAsk
YES58¢60¢
NO40¢42¢
$356,325 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
14¢ last
BidAsk
YES12¢14¢
NO86¢88¢
$240,776 volume
Cross-venue spread 46.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 56¢ per $1 payout, locking +44.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If LYON wins the LCS 2026: Sentinels vs. LYON League of Legends match originally scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the LoL match between LYON and Sentinels in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 16 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Sentinels. This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if Sentinels win the match against LYON. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread46.0¢
Kalshi last60¢
Polymarket last14¢
Venues2
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