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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

KalshiPolymarket Closes Jul 29, 2026
MarketMaster fair value14¢ vs live 13¢ on Polymarket
▲ +1.3% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
86¢ last
BidAsk
YES84¢85¢
NO15¢16¢
$1,826 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
87¢ last
BidAsk
YES85¢87¢
NO13¢15¢
$2,747 volume
Cross-venue spread 1.0¢
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Bilibili Gaming wins the LPL 2026: LGD Gaming vs. Bilibili Gaming League of Legends match originally scheduled for Jul 29, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the LoL match between Bilibili Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 29 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against Bilibili Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread1.0¢
Kalshi last86¢
Polymarket last87¢
Model fair value86¢
Model confidence35%
Venues2
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