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Lamar vs. Idaho

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 12, 2026
MarketMaster fair value47¢ vs live 39¢ on Kalshi
8.1% against the midpoint, 7.6% against the 39¢ ask you would actually pay, +6.0% after the 1.67¢ taker fee.
▲ +6.0% after fees · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
39¢ last
BidAsk
YES38¢39¢
NO61¢62¢
$4,059 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
53¢ last
BidAsk
YES39¢40¢
NO60¢61¢
$9,404 volume
Cross-venue spread 14.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Lamar wins the Lamar vs Idaho college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming college football game between Lamar and Idaho, scheduled for September 12 at 4:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Lamar" if Lamar win the game. This market will resolve to "Idaho" if Idaho win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread14.0¢
Kalshi last39¢
Polymarket last53¢
Model fair value47¢
Model confidence37%
Venues2
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