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Kentucky vs. Oklahoma: O/U 43.5

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 18, 2026
MarketMaster fair value51¢ vs live 50¢ on Kalshi
1.6% against the midpoint, 1.1% against the 50¢ ask you would actually pay, -0.7% after the 1.75¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
50¢ last
BidAsk
YES50¢51¢
NO49¢50¢
$2,263 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
48¢ last
BidAsk
YES48¢49¢
NO51¢52¢
$14,105 volume
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Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If the teams collectively score more than 43.5 points in the Kentucky vs Oklahoma college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 17 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Kentucky and Oklahoma combine to score 44 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 44, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last50¢
Polymarket last48¢
Model fair value51¢
Model confidence40%
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.