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Jovic vs Pohankova — Iva Jovic

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 12, 2026
MarketMaster fair value85¢ vs live 83¢ on Polymarket
1.5% against the midpoint, -0.5% against the 85¢ ask you would actually pay, -1.1% after the 0.64¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
86¢ last
BidAsk
YES85¢86¢
NO14¢15¢
$74,486 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
83¢ last
BidAsk
YES84¢85¢
NO15¢16¢
$1,472 volume
Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Iva Jovic wins the Jovic vs Pohankova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Wuhan Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Iva Jovic and Mia Pohankova in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iva Jovic' if Iva Jovic advances against Mia Pohankova. This market will resolve to 'Mia Pohankova' if Mia Pohankova advances against Iva Jovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last86¢
Polymarket last83¢
Model fair value85¢
Model confidence46%
Venues2
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