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Jinan: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landaluce

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Oct 18, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
52¢ last
BidAsk
YES50¢52¢
NO48¢50¢
$143 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
61¢ last
BidAsk
YES59¢60¢
NO40¢41¢
$843 volume
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Cross-venue spread 9.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 93¢ per $1 payout, locking +7.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Mattia Bellucci wins the Bellucci vs Etcheverry professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Martin Landaluce in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Martin Landaluce. This market will resolve to 'Martin Landaluce' if Martin Landaluce advances against Mattia Bellucci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread9.0¢
Kalshi last52¢
Polymarket last61¢
Venues2
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