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Jacksonville vs Denver: Total Points — Over 43.5 points scored

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 20, 2026
MarketMaster fair value45¢ vs live 44¢ on Polymarket
1.4% against the midpoint, -0.6% against the 46¢ ask you would actually pay, -1.9% after the 1.24¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
54¢ last
BidAsk
YES53¢55¢
NO45¢47¢
$3,610 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
56¢ last
BidAsk
YES54¢58¢
NO42¢46¢
$1,128 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Jacksonville and Denver collectively score more than 43.5 points in the Jacksonville vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 4:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Jaguars and Broncos combine to score 44 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 44, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last54¢
Polymarket last56¢
Model fair value45¢
Model confidence33%
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.