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Jacksonville vs Baltimore: Total Points — Over 42.5 points

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Nov 6, 2026
MarketMaster fair value55¢ vs live 54¢ on Polymarket
1.4% against the midpoint, -2.6% against the 58¢ ask you would actually pay, -3.4% after the 0.73¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
44¢ last
BidAsk
YES43¢44¢
NO56¢57¢
$49,840 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
46¢ last
BidAsk
YES42¢43¢
NO57¢58¢
$2,743 volume
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Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Jacksonville and Baltimore collectively score more than 42.5 points in the Jacksonville vs Baltimore Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for November 5 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Jaguars and Ravens combine to score 43 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 43, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last44¢
Polymarket last46¢
Model fair value55¢
Model confidence42%
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.