Skip to content
Scanner / All markets / Other

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?

Post
Polymarket Closes Jan 1, 2027
LIVE PRICES — YES
PolymarketTrade ↗
15¢ last
BidAsk
YES17¢19¢
NO81¢83¢
$106,136 volume
Listed on Polymarket only. Kalshi does not carry a market that settles on this exact question, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread—
Kalshi last—
Polymarket last15¢
Venues2
TRACK THIS MARKET

Get an email the moment the price or edge moves — watchlists, whale alerts and the full scanner are free to start.

Start free — no card
ELSEWHERE
RELATED MARKETS
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?Will Olivia Rodrigo perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026?Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch?