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HOU Texans vs IND Colts: Total Points — Over 42.5 points

Post ☰ See all 3 outcomes in HOU Texans vs IND Colts: Total Points →
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 27, 2026
MarketMaster fair value49¢ vs live 48¢ on Polymarket
1.3% against the midpoint, 0.3% against the 49¢ ask you would actually pay, fee unknown for this series.
▲ +0.3% at the ask · Buy YES
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
51¢ last
BidAsk
YES50¢51¢
NO49¢50¢
$11,041 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
48¢ last
BidAsk
YES48¢49¢
NO51¢52¢
$6,509 volume
Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If HOU Texans and IND Colts collectively score more than 42.5 points in the HOU Texans vs IND Colts Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Texans and Colts combine to score 43 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 43, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last51¢
Polymarket last48¢
Model fair value49¢
Model confidence37%
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.