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Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 29, 2026
This market group is no longer actively tracked — final data shown. See live edges →
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
62¢ last
BidAsk
YES61¢62¢
NO38¢39¢
$526,275 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
67¢ last
BidAsk
YES67¢68¢
NO32¢33¢
$388,943 volume
Cross-venue spread 5.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 95¢ per $1 payout, locking +5.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Daniil Medvedev wins the Medvedev vs Rublev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Hangzhou Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Andrey Rublev in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Andrey Rublev. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread5.0¢
Kalshi last62¢
Polymarket last67¢
Venues2
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