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Green Bay vs New England — Green Bay

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Nov 9, 2026
MarketMaster fair value59¢ vs live 58¢ on Polymarket
1.3% against the midpoint, -2.7% against the 62¢ ask you would actually pay, -3.4% after the 0.71¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
41¢ last
BidAsk
YES39¢41¢
NO59¢61¢
$80,757 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
42¢ last
BidAsk
YES38¢39¢
NO61¢62¢
$11,808 volume
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Cross-venue spread 1.0¢
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Green Bay wins the Green Bay vs New England Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL football game between Packers and Patriots, scheduled for November 8 at 4:25PM ET: This market will resolve to "Packers" if Packers win the game. This market will resolve to "Patriots" if Patriots win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread1.0¢
Kalshi last41¢
Polymarket last42¢
Model fair value59¢
Model confidence36%
Venues2
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