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Gardner-Webb vs. Marshall: O/U 51.5

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 26, 2026
MarketMaster fair value54¢ vs live 52¢ on Kalshi
2.4% against the midpoint, 1.9% against the 52¢ ask you would actually pay, +0.1% after the 1.75¢ taker fee.
▲ +0.1% after fees · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
52¢ last
BidAsk
YES51¢52¢
NO48¢49¢
$10,002 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
56¢ last
BidAsk
YES53¢54¢
NO46¢47¢
$14,585 volume
Cross-venue spread 4.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If the teams collectively score more than 51.5 points in the Gardner-Webb vs Marshall college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 26 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Gardner-Webb and Marshall combine to score 52 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 52, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread4.0¢
Kalshi last52¢
Polymarket last56¢
Model fair value54¢
Model confidence41%
Venues2
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