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Florida vs Missouri — Florida

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 3, 2026
MarketMaster fair value28¢ vs live 26¢ on Polymarket
2.1% against the midpoint, -7.9% against the 36¢ ask you would actually pay, -9.1% after the 1.15¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
73¢ last
BidAsk
YES67¢74¢
NO26¢33¢
$16,410 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
74¢ last
BidAsk
YES64¢75¢
NO25¢36¢
$3,660 volume
Cross-venue spread 1.0¢
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Florida wins the Florida vs Missouri college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming college football game between Florida and Missouri, scheduled for October 3 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida" if Florida win the game. This market will resolve to "Missouri" if Missouri win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread1.0¢
Kalshi last73¢
Polymarket last74¢
Model fair value28¢
Model confidence40%
Venues2
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