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Florida vs Georgia — Florida

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 31, 2026
MarketMaster fair value75¢ vs live 74¢ on Kalshi
1.3% against the midpoint, -2.2% against the 77¢ ask you would actually pay, -3.4% after the 1.24¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
30¢ last
BidAsk
YES23¢29¢
NO71¢77¢
$51,764 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
24¢ last
BidAsk
YES28¢31¢
NO69¢72¢
$2,640 volume
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Cross-venue spread 6.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Florida wins the Florida vs Georgia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming college football game between Florida and Georgia, scheduled for October 31 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida" if Florida win the game. This market will resolve to "Georgia" if Georgia win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread6.0¢
Kalshi last30¢
Polymarket last24¢
Model fair value75¢
Model confidence37%
Venues2
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