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Fight Night: McMillen vs Rahiki — Tommy McMillen

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 13, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
61¢ last
BidAsk
YES61¢62¢
NO38¢39¢
$5,880 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
60¢ last
BidAsk
YES59¢60¢
NO40¢41¢
$14,749 volume
Cross-venue spread 1.0¢
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Tommy McMillen wins the McMillen vs Rahiki professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Tommy McMillen" if Tommy McMillen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marwan Rahiki at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026. It will resolve to "Marwan Rahiki" if Marwan Rahiki is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread1.0¢
Kalshi last61¢
Polymarket last60¢
Venues2
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