Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting? — Above 3.75%

Kalshi Closes Sep 16, 2026

LIVE PRICES — YES

48¢ last

	Bid	Ask
YES	48¢	49¢
NO	51¢	52¢

$111,076 volume

PolymarketTrade ↗

— last

	Bid	Ask
YES	—	—
NO	—	—

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY

HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.75% following the Federal Reserve's Sep 16, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

STATS

Cross-venue spread—

Kalshi last48¢

Polymarket last—

Venues2

TRACK THIS MARKET

Get an email the moment the price or edge moves — watchlists, whale alerts and the full scanner are free to start.

Start free — no card

RELATED MARKETS

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?