Fearnley vs Carreno Busta — Jacob Fearnley

Kalshi — primary rule

If Jacob Fearnley wins the Fearnley vs Carreno Busta professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Erste Bank Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Jacob Fearnley. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.