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Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A

KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 1, 2026
MarketMaster fair value26¢ vs live 25¢ on Kalshi
▲ +1.4% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
17¢ last
BidAsk
YES16¢17¢
NO83¢84¢
$5,635 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
28¢ last
BidAsk
YES24¢25¢
NO75¢76¢
$19,895 volume
Cross-venue spread 11.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 93¢ per $1 payout, locking +7.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Yellow Submarine wins Games of the Future 2026: Vici Gaming vs. Yellow Submarine Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Aug 1, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Dota 2 Winners match between Yellow Submarine and Vici Gaming in the Games of the Future Group A, initially scheduled for August 1 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win the match against Vici Gaming. This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win the match against Yellow Submarine. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread11.0¢
Kalshi last17¢
Polymarket last28¢
Model fair value26¢
Model confidence42%
Venues2
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