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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Aug 22, 2026
MarketMaster fair value59¢ vs live 58¢ on Kalshi
▲ +1.1% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
61¢ last
BidAsk
YES58¢61¢
NO39¢42¢
$17,106 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
60¢ last
BidAsk
YES59¢60¢
NO40¢41¢
$241,947 volume
Cross-venue spread 1.0¢
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Team Spirit wins The International 2026: Team Liquid vs. Team Spirit Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 10:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Team Spirit and Team Liquid in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Team Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread1.0¢
Kalshi last61¢
Polymarket last60¢
Model fair value59¢
Model confidence52%
Venues2
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