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Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Aug 11, 2026
MarketMaster fair value31¢ vs live 30¢ on Kalshi
▲ +1.1% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
33¢ last
BidAsk
YES33¢34¢
NO66¢67¢
$11,325 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
30¢ last
BidAsk
YES29¢30¢
NO70¢71¢
$20,820 volume
Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 97¢ per $1 payout, locking +3.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Rune Eaters wins EPL Masters 2026: Natus Vincere vs. Rune Eaters Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Aug 10, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Rune Eaters and Natus Vincere in the EPL Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 10 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Rune Eaters" if Rune Eaters win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Rune Eaters. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last33¢
Polymarket last30¢
Model fair value31¢
Model confidence42%
Venues2
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