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Dota 2: Level UP vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner

KalshiPolymarket Closes Jul 30, 2026
MarketMaster fair value85¢ vs live 70¢ on Kalshi
▲ +15.7% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
69¢ last
BidAsk
YES61¢65¢
NO35¢39¢
$26,502 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
42¢ last
BidAsk
YES43¢45¢
NO55¢57¢
$11,983 volume
Cross-venue spread 27.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 84¢ per $1 payout, locking +16.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Level UP wins EPL Masters 2026: Zero Tenacity vs. Level UP Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026 at 8:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Level UP and Zero Tenacity in the EPL Masters Group B, initially scheduled for July 30 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Level UP" if Level UP win the match against Zero Tenacity. This market will resolve to "Zero Tenacity" if Zero Tenacity win the match against Level UP. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread27.0¢
Kalshi last69¢
Polymarket last42¢
Model fair value85¢
Model confidence36%
Venues2
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