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Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 23, 2026
This market group is no longer actively tracked — final data shown. See live edges →
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
56¢ last
BidAsk
YES55¢59¢
NO41¢45¢
$1,506 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
51¢ last
BidAsk
YES50¢51¢
NO49¢50¢
$2,848 volume
Cross-venue spread 5.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 96¢ per $1 payout, locking +4.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Kalmychata wins the European Pro League 2026: Team Lynx vs. Kalmychata Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Sep 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between Kalmychata and Team Lynx in the European Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Kalmychata" if Kalmychata win the match against Team Lynx. This market will resolve to "Team Lynx" if Team Lynx win the match against Kalmychata. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread5.0¢
Kalshi last56¢
Polymarket last51¢
Venues2
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