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Dota 2: Froglings vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Nov 7, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
32¢ last
BidAsk
YES29¢32¢
NO68¢71¢
$3,282 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
49¢ last
BidAsk
YES48¢49¢
NO51¢52¢
$7,895 volume
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Cross-venue spread 17.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 84¢ per $1 payout, locking +16.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Froglings wins the 1win Essence Play-in 2026: Astra Invicta vs. Froglings Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Nov 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Froglings and Astra Invicta in the 1win Essence Play-in Group A, initially scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Froglings" if Froglings win the match against Astra Invicta. This market will resolve to "Astra Invicta" if Astra Invicta win the match against Froglings. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread17.0¢
Kalshi last32¢
Polymarket last49¢
Venues2
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