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DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers: Total Points — Over 61.5 points

Post ☰ See all 3 outcomes in DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers: Total Points →
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 4, 2026
MarketMaster fair value83¢ vs live 81¢ on Polymarket
1.6% against the midpoint, -1.4% against the 84¢ ask you would actually pay, fee unknown for this series.
No edge at the ask
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
16¢ last
BidAsk
YES16¢17¢
NO83¢84¢
$340,588 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
19¢ last
BidAsk
YES16¢19¢
NO81¢84¢
$696 volume
Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If DEN Broncos and SF 49ers collectively score more than 61.5 points in the DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 4:25 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Broncos and 49ers combine to score 62 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 62, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last16¢
Polymarket last19¢
Model fair value83¢
Model confidence46%
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.