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Damm Jr vs Hurkacz — Martin Damm Jr

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 26, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
30¢ last
BidAsk
YES29¢30¢
NO70¢71¢
$5,743 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
31¢ last
BidAsk
YES31¢32¢
NO68¢69¢
$1,176 volume
Cross-venue spread 1.0¢
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Martin Damm Jr wins the Damm Jr vs Hurkacz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Chengdu Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Damm and Hubert Hurkacz in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Damm' if Martin Damm advances against Hubert Hurkacz. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Martin Damm. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread1.0¢
Kalshi last30¢
Polymarket last31¢
Venues2
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