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Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 52.5

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 19, 2026
MarketMaster fair value54¢ vs live 53¢ on Kalshi
1.4% against the midpoint, 0.9% against the 53¢ ask you would actually pay, -0.9% after the 1.74¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
53¢ last
BidAsk
YES52¢53¢
NO47¢48¢
$25,468 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
55¢ last
BidAsk
YES54¢55¢
NO45¢46¢
$21,419 volume
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Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Dallas and Green Bay collectively score more than 52.5 points in the Dallas vs Green Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 18 at 8:20 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Cowboys and Packers combine to score 53 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 53, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last53¢
Polymarket last55¢
Model fair value54¢
Model confidence42%
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.