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Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffs

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 13, 2026
MarketMaster fair value55¢ vs live 53¢ on Polymarket
▲ +2.3% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES
NO
PolymarketTrade ↗
53¢ last
BidAsk
YES52¢53¢
NO47¢48¢
$21,656 volume
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 2 match between UNO MILLE and Grêmio Esports in the CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 12 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "UNO MILLE" if UNO MILLE win the match against Grêmio Esports. This market will resolve to "Grêmio Esports" if Grêmio Esports win the match against UNO MILLE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread
Kalshi last
Polymarket last53¢
Model fair value55¢
Model confidence42%
Venues2
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