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Counter-Strike: Nordic Partners Gaming vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 21, 2026
MarketMaster fair value vs live on Kalshi
▲ +2.1% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES
NO99¢100¢
$10,638 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
100¢ last
BidAsk
YES100¢100¢
NO
$12,540 volume
Cross-venue spread 98.9¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost per $1 payout, locking +98.9¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Nordic Partners Gaming wins the NODWIN Clutch Series 2026: 33 vs. Nordic Partners Gaming CS2 match originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Nordic Partners Gaming and BET-M 33 in the NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nordic Partners Gaming " if Nordic Partners Gaming win Map 2 against BET-M 33. This market will resolve to "BET-M 33" if BET-M 33 win Map 2 against Nordic Partners Gaming . If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread98.9¢
Kalshi last
Polymarket last100¢
Model fair value
Model confidence43%
Venues2
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