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Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 1 Winner

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 26, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
65¢ last
BidAsk
YES65¢66¢
NO34¢35¢
$177,838 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
100¢ last
BidAsk
YES100¢100¢
NO
$559,777 volume
Cross-venue spread 34.9¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 66¢ per $1 payout, locking +33.9¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Natus Vincere wins the BLAST Open Porto 2026: M80 vs. Natus Vincere CS2 match originally scheduled for Aug 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between Natus Vincere and M80 in the BLAST Open Porto Group A, initially scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 1 against M80. This market will resolve to "M80" if M80 win Map 1 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread34.9¢
Kalshi last65¢
Polymarket last100¢
Venues2
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