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Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs BakS eSports - Map 2 Winner

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 31, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
18¢ last
BidAsk
YES17¢18¢
NO82¢83¢
$96,547 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
100¢ last
BidAsk
YES100¢100¢
NO
$51,946 volume
Cross-venue spread 81.9¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 18¢ per $1 payout, locking +81.9¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Misa Esports wins the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #5 2026: BakS eSports vs. Misa Esports CS2 match originally scheduled for Aug 31, 2026 at 9:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between Misa Esports and BakS eSports in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #5 Group B, initially scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports win Map 2 against BakS eSports. This market will resolve to "BakS eSports" if BakS eSports win Map 2 against Misa Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 31, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread81.9¢
Kalshi last18¢
Polymarket last100¢
Venues2
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