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Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Arcade Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #1 Playoffs

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 29, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
34¢ last
BidAsk
YES58¢59¢
NO41¢42¢
$3 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
57¢ last
BidAsk
YES56¢57¢
NO43¢44¢
$1,047 volume
Cross-venue spread 23.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Mindfreak wins the ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #1 2026: Arcade Esports vs. Mindfreak CS2 match originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Mindfreak and Arcade Esports in the ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Mindfreak" if Mindfreak win the match against Arcade Esports. This market will resolve to "Arcade Esports" if Arcade Esports win the match against Mindfreak. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 29, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread23.0¢
Kalshi last34¢
Polymarket last57¢
Venues2
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