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Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 21, 2026
MarketMaster fair value61¢ vs live 56¢ on Kalshi
▲ +5.7% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
99¢ last
BidAsk
YES99¢100¢
NO
$409,098 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
52¢ last
BidAsk
YES51¢52¢
NO48¢49¢
$730,694 volume
Cross-venue spread 47.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 53¢ per $1 payout, locking +47.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Legacy wins the Esports World Cup 2026: Team Falcons vs. Legacy CS2 match originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between Legacy and Team Falcons in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 2 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 2 against Legacy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread47.0¢
Kalshi last99¢
Polymarket last52¢
Model fair value61¢
Model confidence56%
Venues2
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