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Counter-Strike: K28 vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Jul 30, 2026
MarketMaster fair value35¢ vs live 34¢ on Kalshi
▲ +1.9% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
34¢ last
BidAsk
YES32¢35¢
NO65¢68¢
PolymarketTrade ↗
36¢ last
BidAsk
YES35¢36¢
NO64¢65¢
$4,088 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.5¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If K28 wins the CIS LAN Championship 2026: BakS eSports vs. K28 CS2 match originally scheduled for Jul 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 4 match between K28 and BakS eSports in the CIS LAN Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 29 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "K28" if K28 win the match against BakS eSports. This market will resolve to "BakS eSports" if BakS eSports win the match against K28. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.5¢
Kalshi last34¢
Polymarket last36¢
Model fair value35¢
Model confidence35%
Venues2
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