Skip to content
Scanner / All markets / Sports

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Lilmix (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group D

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Aug 3, 2026
MarketMaster fair value10¢ vs live on Polymarket
▲ +1.3% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
89¢ last
BidAsk
YES88¢89¢
NO11¢12¢
$6,863 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
91¢ last
BidAsk
YES90¢91¢
NO10¢
$24,599 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If fnatic wins the Stake Pulse Beat I 2026: Lilmix vs. fnatic CS2 match originally scheduled for Aug 3, 2026 at 6:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between fnatic and Lilmix in the Stake Pulse Beat I Group D, initially scheduled for August 3 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "fnatic" if fnatic win the match against Lilmix. This market will resolve to "Lilmix" if Lilmix win the match against fnatic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last89¢
Polymarket last91¢
Model fair value90¢
Model confidence43%
Venues2
TRACK THIS MARKET

Get an email the moment the price or edge moves — watchlists, whale alerts and the full scanner are free to start.

Start free — no card
RELATED MARKETS
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 1 WinnerDota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsLoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendFight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld — Mateusz GamrotDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsDota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsLoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance QualifierLoL: Shark Attack vs DIA Ozarox Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins