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Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs WW Team - Map 1 Winner

KalshiPolymarket Closes Jul 29, 2026
MarketMaster fair value82¢ vs live 65¢ on Kalshi
▲ +17.3% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
28¢ last
BidAsk
YES26¢28¢
NO72¢74¢
$123,305 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
100¢ last
BidAsk
YES100¢100¢
NO
$45,284 volume
Cross-venue spread 71.9¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 28¢ per $1 payout, locking +71.9¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If ARCRED wins the CIS LAN Championship 2026: WW Team vs. ARCRED CS2 match originally scheduled for Jul 29, 2026 at 8:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between ARCRED and WW Team in the CIS LAN Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 29 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ARCRED" if ARCRED win Map 2 against WW Team. This market will resolve to "WW Team" if WW Team win Map 2 against ARCRED. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread71.9¢
Kalshi last28¢
Polymarket last100¢
Model fair value18¢
Model confidence40%
Venues2
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