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Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 6, 2026
MarketMaster fair value74¢ vs live 72¢ on Kalshi
▲ +1.6% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
69¢ last
BidAsk
YES73¢75¢
NO25¢27¢
$2,292 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
75¢ last
BidAsk
YES74¢75¢
NO25¢26¢
$22,145 volume
Cross-venue spread 6.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If 1WIN wins the NODWIN Clutch Series 2026: 1WIN vs. Butterfly CS2 match originally scheduled for Aug 6, 2026 at 8:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between 1WIN and Butterfly in the NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 6 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "1WIN" if 1WIN win the match against Butterfly. This market will resolve to "Butterfly" if Butterfly win the match against 1WIN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread6.0¢
Kalshi last69¢
Polymarket last75¢
Model fair value74¢
Model confidence42%
Venues2
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