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Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 12, 2026
This market group is no longer actively tracked — final data shown. See live edges →
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
44¢ last
BidAsk
YES45¢46¢
NO54¢55¢
$49,707 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
49¢ last
BidAsk
YES40¢42¢
NO58¢60¢
$48,150 volume
Cross-venue spread 5.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 97¢ per $1 payout, locking +3.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Cleveland and Minnesota collectively score more 8.5 runs in the Cleveland vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for September 12 at 4:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Cleveland Guardians and Minnesota Twins combine to score 9 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread5.0¢
Kalshi last44¢
Polymarket last49¢
Venues2
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